Romney winning Michigan, because Michigan is not a "retail politics" state and takes Airwave, print, and mail media to win.
Romney performing at least strongly in SC, and letting McCain and Huckberry get in a fight. So far the only fighting we have seen has involved Mitt as one of the parties.
Romney winning Nevada. I think Nevada will be key for Romney having a chance to get California's vote on Super Tuesday. Cali has 173 delegates, and is winner takes all.
Michigan has 30 proportional delegates (after the RNC Penalty) and Nevada has 38 proportional delegates (no penalty as Nevada is a Caucus. If Romney gets 40% in each state, he would come out of them with about 30 or so delegates, more than is even possible in SC, which is 24 proportional.
Romney winning Florida, beating Giuli, which will help propel his campaign in Texas and New York. Florida has 57 delegates, and it is winner takes all. Texas and New York are both winner takes all.
You can pretty well guarantee two states, Utah which has 38 delegates with winner takes all, and Idaho with 32 proportional delegates. And I think Colorado Montana would fall in line as well. Colorado is a Caucus with 46 delegates, and Montana gets 25 with an advisory primary.
Tijs
On Jan 10, 2008 5:58 PM, Nevin Limburg <Nevin.Limburg@wvc-ut.gov> wrote:
Chris Mathews is right on, and I like him a lot more than so many of the others, after seeing him moderate the Republican debate last Sunday in NH.
Nevin
>>> "Bruce Gundersen" < bruceg@chpdc.com> 1/10/2008 5:37 PM >>>They said that Romney was running scared, tired of the fight and going to
let McCain and Huckabee fight for a while and put everything into Michigan
because if he did not win there, he is finished.
They are so far off, and They are afraid of him.
Chris Mathews said earlier that Romney was the guy the Demos were afraid of
more than anyone because he had it all, values, smarts and experience.
-----Original Message-----
From: Nevin Limburg [mailto:Nevin.Limburg@wvc-ut.gov]
Sent: Thursday, January 10, 2008 5:30 PM
To: bruceg@chpdc.com; 'Tijs Limburg'; 'Garth Limburg'
Cc: dmx311@gmail.com; ralph@morasi.com; keeslimburg@myldsmail.net
Subject: RE: Huckabee and McCain??
Interesting. thanks guys for keeping me informed and up to date. Keep it
up!
Nevin
Nevin Limburg, CEcD
Business Development Manager
Economic Development / Redevelopment Agency West Valley City, Utah
Office: 801-963-3322
cell: 801-232-0542
Cell: 801-232-0542
Nevin.Limburg@wvc-ut.gov
>>> "Bruce Gundersen" <bruceg@chpdc.com> 1/10/2008 5:29 PM >>>
The report I just heard on MSNBC was that Romney has now pulled all his
staff out of S Carolina.
-----Original Message-----
From: Nevin Limburg [mailto:Nevin.Limburg@wvc-ut.gov]
Sent: Thursday, January 10, 2008 5:23 PM
To: Tijs Limburg; Garth Limburg
Cc: bruceg@chpdc.com; dmx311@gmail.com; ralph@morasi.com;
keeslimburg@myldsmail.net
Subject: Re: Huckabee and McCain??
He could still take S Carolina, if he takes Michigan. His strategy now to
put everything into MI is a good one. He must and he will beat McCain
there, who won Michigan in 2000 over Bush, then Bush beat him in S Carolina
and it was downhill then after that for Bush.
The first shots of the "Rebellion" to start the Civil War were from S
Carolina. Romney could come into S Carolina on a wave after Michigan and be
the rebel who steals a victory over Huck and Mc.
Am I dreaming? For Mitt, always, but with faith and hope mixed in.
Nevin
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Tijs Limburg
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