From: DickMorrisReports@Vote.com
Subject: IT'S NOW A RUDY ROMP
Date: Mon, 05 Feb 2007 15:01:12 -0600
IT'S NOW A RUDY ROMP
By DICK MORRIS & EILEEN MCGANN
February 5, 2007 -- Until now, the status of front-runner in the Republican
primaries for president was jointly held by Arizona Sen. John McCain and
former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani. McCain is clearly no longer the
front-runner. In the last week or so, Giuliani has moved out to a clear
lead.
* McCain's latest fund-raising report, for the fourth quarter of 2006, was
pathethic: He raised only $1.7 million and has only pocket change - $472,454
- on hand.
* A Fox News poll of Jan. 30-31 shows the former mayor jumping out to a
significant lead among Republicans - 34 to 22 percent.
* A Gallup poll taken Jan. 25-28 shows Giuliani is better liked by
Republicans than McCain -74 to 21 percent and more trusted to handle a
crisis (68-20). Some 60 percent say Giuliani "better understands the
problems of the average person," against 33 percent who pick McCain. By
58-34, America's Mayor is seen as the stronger leader.
Conversations with conservative activists also show a remarkable openness to
supporting Giuliani - a belief that he can overcome (perhaps finesse) his
pro-choice, pro-gun-control, pro-gay-rights and pro-immigration positions.
Feelings seem bitterer over McCain's role in Washington battles - his
opposition to the Bush tax cuts and his support for "amnesty" for illegal
immigrants and for campaign-finance reform.
Giuliani has developed an effective parry to charges that his pro-choice
stance would undo eight years of pro-life heavy lifting by the Bush
administration. He's saying he'd oppose partial-birth abortion and work to
continue to curtail Medicaid funding for abortion. More, he'd appoint judges
like Justices Samuel Alito and John Roberts to the Supreme Court.
None of this means the race is over, of course. Even if McCain falters, some
candidate would likely gain traction as the "true conservative" in the race.
But who?
Massachusetts' former Gov. Mitt Romney is flailing, thanks to his flip-flops
over the last decade on abortion (pro-life, then pro choice, now pro life
again) and on gay issues. These reasonable concerns - and unreasonable
bigotry about a Mormon candidate - may doom him.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich seems stalled in the low teens in the
polls and not likely to move up.
So a dark horse will probably move up. These names are still obscure, but
get to know them - lightning will soon strike at least one: Arkansas Gov.
Mike Huckabee (our favorite), Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback, ex-Virginia Gov.
James S. Gilmore, former Wisconsin Gov. Tommy Thompson and Reps. Duncan
Hunter and Tom Tancredo.
If all the GOP's starters go on the disabled list, one of these minor
leaguers may make it to the World Series by capturing the Republican
domination. Of course, that "winner" will then have to face the Big Mean
Clinton Machine - which in the latest polls is looking likely to clean the
floor over in the other league.
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***Copyright Eileen McGann and Dick Morris 2006***
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